Tuesday, 19 October 2021

Covid third wave likely to be in august and may peak in October as per the report

Covid 3rd wave likey to be in august and may peak in October as per the report

As per researchers, the third wave of Covid is unlikely to be as dangerous as the second wave when India reported 4 lac plus daily cases and came down after that.

India may see another increase in Covid-19 cases in August, with the third wave peaking with less than 1 lac cases a day in the best scenario or nearly 1.5 lac in the worst situation,

Researchers said. Bloomberg reported to the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) researchers in Hyderabad and Kanpur led by Mathukumalli Vidyasagar and Manindra Agrawal, respectively, that surge in Covid cases will push the third wave of coronavirus pandemic, which may likely peak in October. Vidyasagar told Bloomberg in the email that states with high Covid-19 issues, such as Maharashtra and Kerala, could "skew the picture."

The prediction by the researchers, who accurately forecast the lessening of the surge in Covid-19 cases earlier this year, is based on a mathematical model.

Vidyasagar told Bloomberg by email. In May, Vidyasagar, a professor at IIT Hyderabad, said India's coronavirus outbreak could peak in the coming days based on the mathematical model.

"Our predictions are that peak will come within a few days. As per current projections, we should hit 20,000 cases per day by the end of June. We will revise this as needed," 

Covid 3rd wave likey to be in august and may peak in October as per the report 1getty image

Read More:Door to Door Vaccination to start from today in Mumbai 

However, in April, Vidyasagar's team's prediction that the wave would peak by the middle of last month was incorrect. He wrote on Twitter at the time that it was because of incorrect parameters as "the pandemic was changing rapidly, even wildly, until about a week ago."

He also told Reuters that the peak would be between May 3-5 and to India Today that it would come on May 7.

India reported 41,831 Covid-19 cases and 541 deaths on Sunday, even as the Centre cautioned ten states, including Kerala, Maharashtra, and northeastern regions, amid the rising infections and asked them to have adequate steps to stop the spread of coronavirus.

Experts have warned that the Delta form of the corona, which spreads as quickly as chickenpox and can be passing on by vaccinated people, can fuel the surge. According to Indian Sars-CoV-2 Genomic Consortium (INSACOG) data, nearly 8 of every 10 Covid-19 cases in May, June, and July were caused by the highly infectious Delta variant coronavirus.

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