Wednesday, 29 June 2022

Qualification scenarios of Ipl Teams

Qualification scenarios of Ipl Teams

Around 90% of the league phase is done and dusted, with only GT confirming their spot in the Play-Offs. They are sitting on 20 points and assured of a top-two finish while the two most successful sides of the competition - MI and CSK - find themselves out of the reckoning. DC takes on PBKS later today in the most crucial clash regarding qualification.

LSG

Remaining fixtures: vs. KKR at DY Patil - May 18

The win over LSG on Sunday (May 15) has taken RR to second place and assured them of a Play Off spot, more or less. They need to avoid a heavy defeat in the last league fixture to avoid getting knocked out on NRR if results align that way. LSG, sitting at the top of the table a week back, has been pushed to the third spot following their first back-to-back defeats in the season. Like RR, they also only need to avoid a significant loss.

To get knocked out, they would need to lose their final match, RCB to beat GT, and the DC vs. PBKS contest winner to win their last game. In that case, up to four teams can tie on 16 points, and one gets knocked out on NRR. RCB has an NRR of -0.323 and would need to beat GT by around 75 runs and would need LSG to lose by the same margin to get ahead on NRR. For RR, the same margin is about 80 runs.

LSG and RR will have a chance to finish in the top two, depending on the results of their final match. LSG plays theirs on Wednesday and RR on Friday, giving the latter the advantage of knowing precisely what needs to be done to finish higher in the points table.

RR

Remaining fixtures: vs. CSK at Brabourne - May 20

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DC

Remaining fixtures: vs. PBKS at DY Patil on May 16; vs. MI at Wankhede on May 21

PBKS

Remaining fixtures: vs. DC at DY Patil - May 16; vs. SRH at Wankhede - May 22

DC take on PBKS on Monday (May 16) in an all-important clash, with the winner moving a step closer to the Playoffs and the loser confined to a maximum of 14 points and would want other results to come their way. Both DC and PBKS have their NRR in the positive territory, which would mean winning their remaining fixtures should assure them of a playoff spot. If both LSG and RR lose their final games, both DC and PBKS have an outside shot for a top-two finish if they win their remaining matches by good margins.

For the loser of the DC vs. PBKS clash to qualify, they would need to win their final margin by a significant margin as possible, the winner of Monday's clash to lose their last match, and RCB to lose to GT. In that scenario, up to five teams can finish on 14 points, with NRR determining who goes through.

RCB

Remaining fixtures: vs. GT at Wankhede - May 19

RCB finds themselves on a sticky wicket after the 54-run thumping defeat against PBKS on Friday (May 13). A win alone might not suffice, given that their NRR is only -0.323, the lowest among all teams in contention for a playoff spot. They will most likely get eliminated if the DC vs. PBKS match-winner wins their final game. An ideal scenario for RCB to qualify without any NRR equation is them beating GT, and the winner of the DC vs. PBKS match losing their last league match. In that case, RCB gets to 16 points, and the other sides below them in the table can get to a maximum of 14 only.

For RCB to get their NRR to the neutral territory of 0.000, they would need to beat table-toppers GT in their last league fixture by around 80 runs or about ten overs to spare. A loss could mean RCB will remain on 14 points and most likely be eliminated given their NRR and the possibility of two sides going past them.

KKR

Remaining fixtures: vs. LSG at DY Patil - May 18

SRH

Remaining fixtures: vs. MI at Wankhede - May 17; vs. PBKS at Wankhede - May 22

Both KKR and SRH can get to a maximum of 14 points and have their fate out of their own hands. Should either RCB beat GT or the DC vs. PBKS clash winner win their last match, both KKR and SRH would get knocked out. Their best-case scenario is to win their remaining matches to get to 14 points, RCB loses to GT and stays on 14 points, and the winner of DC vs. PBKS loses their last game and remains on 14 points. In that case, up to five sides will finish with 14 points, and NRR comes into the picture. KKR has a much better NRR (+0.160) than SRH (-0.270), has only one match left, and is better placed than SRH should result come their way.

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